Overall Market Conditions: |
Extremely Choppy Behavior - Caution is Warranted |
The market made a nice move running up into the Fed meeting, yet
as often happens, it was “buy the rumor sell the news” and the
market suffered a large down day on Friday which was also Triple
Witching options expirations day.
It could be that the market is set to retest those lows set back in
August which could likely take a few more weeks or more, but it
would be nice to get it out of the way before earnings start in the third
week of October.
Let’s move on to charts of the leading averages that have various
patterns with the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and Russell 2000 (RUT)
showing very bearish Rising Wedges that imply much lower prices in
the near term.
Let’s move on to the Shanghai index that is still filling out its Bear
Channel pattern that implies resolution to the downside.
My short term trading oscillator hit extreme readings on Thursday
which is usually a reduce or sell signal for me. You can find this tool
in the chat room running in real-time if you’re interested.
Let’s see some stocks with nothing special at this time though Fitbit
Inc. (FIT) is coming off lows on massive volume due to news.
Members on CNBC’s Shark Tank would never invest in a company
with market valuation that is 8x revenues, but the earnings are good
with lots of room for a quick run up in price. Hopefully some
brokerage firm will hype the stock beyond reason and the retail crowd
will bid it up wildly. Hopefully is the key word here.
Let’s see a few Biotech stocks now.
As I have noted here several times recently, the market often
makes lows in late September or early October. In the meantime I’ll
keep my portfolio as close to cash as possible with a few trades here
and there.
I hope to see you in my chat room on Monday and back here Monday
night.
Daniel J. Zanger
|